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Asset Allocation to Lower Your Taxes

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How you choose to allocate your investments is critically important for tax planning, particularly if you have high state income taxes.  To maximize returns, you want to have as much of your money untaxed as possible as it compounds and grows.  Having a 10-30% tax bite each year will seriously damage your returns.

Luckily, capital gains are not taxed until the gain is realized – in other words, until the shares are sold and you make a profit.  This means that your shares of a young company that reinvests all of its profits instead of paying a dividend will not result in any taxes until you sell the shares.  Your blue-chip stock that pays a 5% dividend each year, however, will cause a tax bill each year even if you have the shares on dividend reinvestment.

To minimize your yearly taxes and thereby maximize your returns, you want to keep mostly stocks that have low yields in taxable accounts and everything else in tax deferred accounts (like a traditional IRA or a 401K) or tax-free accounts (like a Roth IRA or Roth 401K).  Note that educational IRAs are also tax-free when used for college expenses.  Assets should therefore be allocated as follows, in general:

Taxable Accounts

  • Growth stocks
  • Growth stock mutual funds
  • Tax exempt bonds (e.g., municipal bonds)

Tax Deferred Accounts

  • Bonds
  • High yield stocks (utilities, banks, drug companies)
  • Commodities
  • Income-producing mutual funds
  • Mutual funds with high turn-over ratios

In some cases it may make sense to keep low yield assets a tax-free account such as a Roth IRA.  For example, if you are holding growth stocks long-term, you may have a few stocks that grow dramatically over a period of several years.  If these stocks are in a taxable account, there will be a big tax bill when you sell shares.  If they are in a Roth IRA, however, no taxes will be owed.

This is a judgement call, since not all long-term holdings will work out.  If you have a losses in a tax-free account, you will also not be able to deduct them to offset gains in a taxable account.  Perhaps the best strategy is to keep part of each position in each account.  If things work out, sell the shares in the taxable account first when the position begins to become large, perhaps offsetting the gain with losses in other positions.  Then, allow the position in the tax-free account to continue to grow.

Please contact me via vtsioriginal@yahoo.com or leave a comment.

Follow me on Twitter to get news about new articles and find out what I’m investing in.  @SmallIvy_SI

Disclaimer: This blog is not meant to give financial planning or tax advice.  It gives general information on investment strategy, picking stocks, and generally managing money to build wealth. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell stocks or any security. Financial planning advice should be sought from a certified financial planner, which the author is not. Tax advice should be sought from a CPA.  All investments involve risk and the reader as urged to consider risks carefully and seek the advice of experts if needed before investing.

A Question for Readers – Why are Taxes as a Percentage of GDP Low?

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Today I have a question for readers of this blog.  I was reading in an editorial in the local paper.  The writer, who was saying that the issue causing the US deficit wasn’t over-bloated entitlement program, but was that we weren’t funding them.  She pointed out that the US has the lowest ratio of tax collections to GDP in decades; therefore, we should just raise taxes and everything would balance and we could spend away.

I couldn’t believe that this was right, so I went online and checked.  Sure enough, tax collections are in the 15% range, where traditionally they have been in the 18-20% range:

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/displayafact.cfm?Docid=205

Collections seemed to drop after the housing bubble burst and the recession started.  Taxes have not changed during that period, except for the payroll tax on the worker’s side dropping by a couple of percentage points.  You can see this in the 2011 collections, and perhaps part of 2010.

From the table, it looks like both corporate and individual taxes declined and have stayed down.

My question is this:  What is causing tax revenues to decline more than GDP?

Does this mean that companies have been providing the same amount of stuff, but not been making as big a profit as they did in the past?  Perhaps they are reinvesting a lot more and distributing a lot less?  On the individual side, I’m guessing it is just because people have lost jobs or taken pay cuts.  Maybe they are also putting more away for retirement and using other tax sheltered accounts.

Maybe people are sheltering taxes better since those making money and creating jobs probably don’t agree with the philosophy of the current administration.  Maybe the GDP numbers are wrong.

Any thoughts?

Please contact me via vtsioriginal@yahoo.com or leave a comment.

Follow me on Twitter to get news about new articles and find out what I’m investing in.  @SmallIvy_SI

Disclaimer: This blog is not meant to give financial planning or tax advice.  It gives general information on investment strategy, picking stocks, and generally managing money to build wealth. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell stocks or any security. Financial planning advice should be sought from a certified financial planner, which the author is not. Tax advice should be sought from a CPA.  All investments involve risk and the reader as urged to consider risks carefully and seek the advice of experts if needed before investing.

The Effect of the US Debt – By the Numbers

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One solution for solving the US debt issue is to raise taxes, particularly on the wealthy.  I was curious about the number involved and whether that was a feasible possibility.  Here’s what I found from a perusal of the Internet (links provided to the sources of the data):

US Debt - $16 trillion (almost exactly, although I’d be happy to keep the round off error if you would give it to me.)

Debt interest payment in 2011 – $454,393,280,417.03 (source US Treasury).  That’s almost $500 billion, or nearly half a trillion dollars, even at only an average interest rate of 2.8% (calculated as simple interest by dividing interest payments/debt).

August 2012 Interest Payment – $20,045,169,656.99 (source US Treasury).  That’s $20 Billion a month.

Those numbers are huge – too big to think about.  So let’s put it in terms of how many people are paying taxes that only goes into paying the interest on the debt:

The average individual income in the US – $50,000 (source).  I’m not sure if that’s the average income of people working or the average income of everyone, including people not working.  Probably the former since it is the average income.

Taxes paid in 2011 by $50,000 tax payer (using the tax tables ) – $7550.  Note this would be an income of $50,000 after deductions – probably someone earning about $60,000 before deductions.

Number of average ($50,000 income) taxpayers whose taxes go only to pay for debt interest – 60 million taxpayers (interest divided by the aaverage tax payment).  This is more than the population of New York and California, combined.  This means that if we didn’t have any debt, everyone in New York and California could go without paying taxes and we’d still have the same amount of money to spend on other things!

For perspective:  ocial Security Cost  in 2011 – $820 B.  So the interest paid is a little more than half of the amount that is paid out in Social Security payments.

The US credit rating has been declining (downgraded twice) as our debt has been climbing.  It is likely that we will need to start paying more in interest if this continues.  Interest payment, if the average interest rate is increased to 4% – $640 B (calculation).

If we continue spending as we currently are, we will increase the debt by $6 T over each four year period, or about $1.5T per year.  This means that in 8 years the debt will be $24 T.   Interest payment at current interest rates if debt increased to $24 T- $672 B.  Interest at 5% if debt increases to $24T – $1.2 T

Now let’s look at what it will take to pay this off:

Population of the US – 314 M

Individual share today at $16T if every man, women, and child pays their share: $50,955 (debt divided by population).   If 30% of people pay and everyone else gets a free ride (more likely) – $152,866.  Individual share at $24 T-  $76,433.  If only 30% of people pay – $229,299.    This means that the people who will be paying, which will include a lot of middle class families, will owe the equivalent of the cost of a decent house in the midwest today, and owe the equivalent of a nice house in the suburbs of a city in 8 years if we keep up the current trajectory.  How many will not be able to buy a house because they will be paying for a house they do not get to live in?

Could we pay off the debt if we confiscated all of the wealth held by the wealthiest 1%?  Let’s see:

Net Household Worth of the US: $57.4 T (source).  Percentage of wealth held by the top 1%:  35.4% (source).

Net worth of top 1% = $57.4 T x 0.354 = $20.3T

Note also, for the top 400 income earners, total yearly income- $36 B.

So the answer is yes, we could pay off the debt if we confiscated most of the wealth of the top 1%.  Note that this could only be done once and would be incredibly unfair since you would be taking money that had already been taxed several times.  You would also probably not actually get the full amount since it would be in things like stocks, real estate, and private businesses.  It is likely that the value of stocks and real estate would drop dramatically if you tried to grab a bunch of it and sell it on the market (who would want to own stocks and real estate if the government could just grab them from you and sell them).  The value in private businesses would fare even worse since the skills and devotion of the owners is a big part of the value of a business.  You can’t sell a successful business and expect to get anything close to its value.

Note also that given another 3-4 years of overspending as we are, there won’t be enough money held by the top 1%, even if you took it all and still got top price for it ont he markets, to pay off the debt.

Please contact me via vtsioriginal@yahoo.com or leave a comment.

Follow me on Twitter to get news about new articles and find out what I’m investing in.  @SmallIvy_SI

Disclaimer: This blog is not meant to give financial planning or tax advice.  It gives general information on investment strategy, picking stocks, and generally managing money to build wealth. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell stocks or any security. Financial planning advice should be sought from a certified financial planner, which the author is not. Tax advice should be sought from a CPA.  All investments involve risk and the reader as urged to consider risks carefully and seek the advice of experts if needed before investing.

Tired of Filing Taxes?

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Since we have recently completed another tax filing season, I thought it was a good time to speak again about the Fair Tax.   For those who don’t know, the Fair Tax is a national sales tax that replaces all other Federal taxes (income taxes, corporate taxes, Social Security taxes, etc…).  The Fair Tax is prevented from being regressive through use of a “prebate,” which is a sum of money paid to each citizen at the beginning of the year to cover a portion of the taxes.  For example, if the Fair Tax is set at 20%, and the prebate is $10,000 per person, the first $50,000 of income would be tax free (because one would pay $10,000 in taxes if one spent $50,000 but receive $10,000 from the prebate).

There are several advantages to the Fair Tax over the existing taxes:

1.  It is very simple, with no filing requirements.  People just pay the tax as they buy things – never fill out a form or pay an accountant again.

2.  It rewards savings and earning money and penalizes spending.  The current system rewards behavior that gets people in trouble – borrowing and spending – and penalizes saving, investing, and working.

3.   It removes the need for all of the tax-advantaged accounts.  No more IRAs, Medical Savings Accounts, etc… and all of the book-keeping that goes with it.

4.  You receive your whole paycheck – no more having Mr. FICO take out his share before your get your money.

Obviously there are some concerns about a consumption tax.  People are always afraid of a new tax since they’re afraid it will be added but the old tax will remain.   You also might be wondering about the size of the sales tax.  Here are the answers to some common questions:

Q:  How high will the sales tax be?

A:  If revenues were to remain the same, a tax rate of about 23% would be needed.  Remember though that you would get your whole paycheck (including the 15% taken out for income taxes and the 9% or so taken out for Social Security and Medicare.  In addition, because there would be no corporate taxes, prices of things would be expected to drop.  In fact, if you include a reduction in expenses since companies would no longer need to hire legions of accountants for tax compliance and strategy, things might actually cost a lot less.

Q:  Isn’t a sales tax regressive?

A:  No, not the Fair Tax.  Because of the prefund, you can make it as progressive as you would like.

Q:  What would keep us from ending up with both the sales tax and the income tax?

A:  Of course this is a possibility, but it is all based on the people you elect.  The income tax could also be raised to 90%.  If you don’t want higher taxes, vote for people who will cut the size of government.  Besides, there is currently talk of enactment of a Value Added Tax to raise more money (since they can’t justify raising income taxes anymore), which would be worse than a sales tax.  The Fair Tax would only be paid when new goods are sold.  A VAT would be added to each step of the manufacturing process.

Q:  How can we get the Fair Tax enacted?

A:  It will take time because it is a big change.  If you are interested, write to your representatives and let them know you are interested in the Fair Tax.  Also, tell your friends and have them write.  If enough people talk to their representatives, we can get this done.

WRITE TO YOUR SENATORS AND REPRESENTATIVE ON APRIL 23rd AND ASK THEM TO PASS THE FAIR TAX.  If enough people write at once it will make a bigger impact.

Please contact me via vtsioriginal@yahoo.com or leave a comment.

Follow me on Twitter to get news about new articles and find out what I’m investing in.  @SmallIvy_SI

Disclaimer: This blog is not meant to give financial planning or tax advice.  It gives general information on investment strategy, picking stocks, and generally managing money to build wealth. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell stocks or any security. Financial planning advice should be sought from a certified financial planner, which the author is not. Tax advice should be sought from a CPA.  All investments involve risk and the reader as urged to consider risks carefully and seek the advice of experts if needed before investing.

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